Bengals vs. Browns odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 148-107 roll

After starting 0-2, the Cincinnati Bengals have won four of five games and will try to continue their winning ways when they take on the Cleveland Browns in a key AFC North showdown on Monday Night Football. The Bengals (4-3), AFC champions last season, lost to the Los Angeles Rams 23-20 in Super Bowl LVI. Cincinnati is coming off a 35-17 win over the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday. The Browns (2-5), who are looking to return to the playoffs after missing them last season, have dropped four in a row, including a 23-20 decision at Baltimore in Week 8.

Kickoff from FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a 3-point favorite in the latest Bengals vs. Browns odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 45. Before making any Browns vs. Bengals picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 148-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bengals vs. Browns and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 8 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Bengals vs. Browns:

  • Bengals vs. Browns spread: Cincinnati -3 
  • Bengals vs. Browns over-under: 45 points 
  • Bengals vs. Browns money line: Bengals -165, Browns +140 
  • CIN: Bengals are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 games against AFC foes 
  • CLE: Over is 4-0 in the Browns’ last four home games 
  • Bengals vs. Browns picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Why the Bengals can cover

Cincinnati’s offense is powered by quarterback Joe Burrow. The third-year veteran has completed 186 of 270 passes (68.98 percent) for 2,097 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has been picked off five times and has a rating of 102.7. He was unstoppable a week ago against the Falcons, completing 34 of 42 passes (81 percent) for 481 yards and three touchdowns. He also rushed three times for 20 yards and a score.

Running back Joe Mixon is one of the Bengals’ top offensive threats as well. In seven games, Mixon has 121 carries for 405 yards (3.3 average) and two touchdowns, with one explosive play of 31 yards. He has also converted 22 first downs on the ground. He is just as effective in the passing game with 27 receptions for 182 yards (6.7 average) and one touchdown. He also has an explosive play of 22 yards and converted six first downs through the air. See which team to pick here.

Why the Browns can cover 

Despite that, the Bengals are not a lock to cover the Bengals vs. Browns spread. That’s because Browns quarterback Jacoby Brissett has played well of late. Last week, he completed 22 of 27 passes (81.5 percent) for 258 yards with a 106.5 rating. Brissett passed for 233 yards and two touchdowns with one interception in his only career start versus Cincinnati as a member of the Indianapolis Colts on Oct. 29, 2017. He has two touchdowns with zero interceptions with a 99.6 rating in his past four starts against AFC North opponents.

Also leading the Browns is running back Nick Chubb. He had 107 yards from scrimmage, including 91 rushing, and a rushing touchdown last week and has 100-plus yards from scrimmage and a rushing TD in five of his past six games. He has 130 or more scrimmage yards and two rushing touchdowns in two of his past three games versus Cincinnati. Chubb will be looking for his third game in a row against a division foe with 100 or more scrimmage yards and a rushing score. Chubb has 430 yards from scrimmage (107.5 per game) and six rushing touchdowns in four home games this season. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bengals vs. Browns picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total. In fact, it’s calling for 47 total points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s MNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Browns vs. Bengals on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Bengals spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.