Manchester City vs. Manchester United prediction, odds: Expert English Premier League picks for Oct. 2, 2022



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Manchester City will try to halt their rival’s surge on Sunday when they host Manchester United in an English Premier League match at Etihad Stadium. City (5-2-0) also is trying to remain unbeaten and could have an opportunity to move to the top of the table depending on the outcome of Saturday’s Arsenal vs. Tottenham match. The Citizens entered the weekend one point behind Arsenal and even with Spurs. United (4-0-2) come into the Manchester derby on a four-game league win streak, which came on the heels of a brutal opening that had some calling for new manager Erik ten Hag to be sacked. A 2-1 loss to Brighton followed by an embarrassing 4-0 rout at the hands of Brentford brought panic to Red Devils fans. That appears to be in the rearview mirror, but playing at the Etihad is no picnic. A United win would be a notable result considering that City dominated both meetings last season, winning 4-1 on their home turf.

Kickoff in Manchester, England is set for 9 a.m. ET on Sunday. City are the -295 favorites (risk $295 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Manchester City vs. Manchester United odds from Caesars Sportsbook. United are the +750 underdogs, a draw is priced at +440 and the over/under for total goals is set at 3.5. Before locking in any Manchester United vs. Manchester City picks or bets, you need to see the English Premier League predictions from proven soccer insider Martin Green. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he is 11-8 over his past 19 EPL picks and 26-21-1 (+4.81 units) on his past 48 soccer picks overall . He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Manchester United vs. Manchester City matchup from every angle. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Manchester City vs. Manchester United:

  • Man City vs. Man United spread: City -1.5 (-115)
  • Man City vs. Man United over/under: 3.5 goals
  • Man City vs. Man United money line: City -295, United +750, Draw +440
  • Man City: They have at least three goals in seven straight at home.
  • Man U: They haven’t won five straight EPL games since April 2021.
  • Man City vs. Man United picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why You Should Back Manchester City 

City dominated the two meetings last season, and they held the ball for 70% of the match at the Etihad and outshot United 24-5. The Citizens have scored a league-high 23 goals this season and conceded just seven, tied for second-fewest. New signing Erling Haaland has been the most dominant player in the league, and Kevin de Bruyne remains one of the world’s best midfielders. Haaland has a league-high 11 goals, five more than any other player, and de Bruyne leads the EPL with six assists and creates 1.5 goals and almost six shots per game.

The likes of Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva, Riyad Mahrez and Jack Grealish give manager Pep Guardiola an impressive number of options to join the attack. Foden and Silva have three assists apiece, and Rodri has two. Mahrez and de Bruyne each scored twice in the 4-1 victory against United last season. The Red Devils have scored just eight times and are dealing with injuries, so they could have trouble. City have outscored their foes 14-2 in their three games at home, and they were 15-2-2 there last season. Ederson leads the league with four clean sheets.    

Why you should back Man United

The Red Devils have gotten a big jolt of confidence from their surge as ten Hag has appeared to figure out how to win with his personnel. Cristiano Ronaldo has taken a back seat, and his Portugal teammate Bruno Fernandes should be the key to the attack. He has just one goal while setting up one, but he had 18 goals and 12 assists the season before Ronaldo returned to the team. That dropped to 10 and six last season. Marcus Rashford (three) and Jadon Sancho (two) are leading the scoring, but Rashford is dealing with a hamstring injury and could miss out.  

If Sancho can’t go, that would likely put Ronaldo back in the mix, and the 37-year-old is out to prove he can still be dominant. He scored 18 goals for United last season. The Red Devils’ current four-game league winning streak started with a 2-1 victory against Liverpool, and they handed Arsenal their only loss, so City will definitely take them seriously. After facing intense heat early on, ten Hag was named the league’s Manager of the Month for September and appears to be learning the best approach for his personnel. United are 2-0-1 on the road

How to make EPL and Manchester City vs. Manchester United picks

Green has scrutinized the Man City vs. Man U match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets, including a plus-money play on one player to be booked, and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing those picks here.

So, who wins Manchester United vs. Manchester City in Sunday’s English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Manchester derby, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.