NC State vs. Virginia Tech prediction, odds: 2022 Week 9 college football picks, best bets by proven model

The Virginia Tech Hokies will try to continue their dominance in the series when they visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the No. 24 North Carolina State Wolfpack on Thursday night. With NC State (5-2-1-2) in the ACC’s Atlantic division and Virginia Tech (2-5, 1-3) in the Coastal, the teams meet infrequently, but the Hokies have had the Wolfpack’s number. Virginia Tech has won five in a row against the Wolfpack since losing the first ACC meeting between the teams in 2004. The last matchup was at the Hokies’ Lane Stadium in 2020, a 45-24 victory for the hosts. Both teams come in off a loss leading into their bye weeks. The Wolfpack lost 24-9 to Syracuse on Oct. 15, without quarterback Devin Leary. He was lost for the season after tearing a pectoral in the previous week’s victory against Florida State. The Hokies suffered their fourth consecutive loss on Oct. 15, a 20-14 setback to Miami.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET in Raleigh, N.C. The Wolfpack are a 13.5-point favorites in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Virginia Tech vs. NC State odds, and the over/under for total points is set at 39. Before making any NC State vs. Virginia Tech picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on North Carolina State vs. Virginia Tech and locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina State:

  • NC State vs. Virginia Tech spread: NC State -13.5
  • NC State vs. Virginia Tech over/under: 39 points 
  • NC State vs. Virginia Tech money line: NC State -550, Virginia Tech +400
  • NCST: NC State is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite over the past two-plus seasons.
  • VT: Virginia Tech is 4-9 ATS as an underdog since the start of the 2020 season.
  • NC State vs. Virginia Tech picks: See picks here

Featured Game | NC State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Tech Hokies

Why NC State can cover

NC State is 15-4 against the spread coming off a bye since coach Dave Doeren was hired in 2013. He has a strong defense that should have little trouble neutralizing a Hokies offense that has struggled this season, and the unit can make big plays. The Wolfpack have 13 takeaways, with their 11 interceptions tied for seventh-most in FBS. They allow less than 17 points per game (14th in the nation) and just 311 total yards (18th). The Wolfpack average 355 yards and 27.4 points per game, while the Hokies gain 323 yards and score just over 19 per contest.

Cornerback Aydan White, part of a strong rotation, has three interceptions and six passes defended. N.C. State has won 14 straight games at Carter-Finley and is 12-5 ATS there since the start of the 2020 season. The Wolfpack also are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up loss. Their two losses are to ranked teams, and Leary is a huge loss, but transfer Jack Chambers is an experienced quarterback. He threw for almost 5,800 yards in 32 games with Charleston Southern and had 160 passing yards and 58 rushing against Syracuse.  

Why Virginia Tech can cover

Virginia Tech is 2-2 ATS in its ACC games this season. It has covered the spread in winning five straight against NC State, prevailing by double digits in the past four. The physical Hokies should make things tough on Chambers, who has completed 54.5% of his passes so far. They have 13 sacks, with TyJuan Garbutt getting 1.5 against Miami to give him 3.5. They also have been steady against the run, so they can challenge Chambers to beat them. Virginia Tech has allowed fewer than 110 rushing yards in four of its six games against FBS opponents this year.

The Hokies are 23-11 straight-up in Thursday games since 1994, going an astonishing 11-4 on the road. Grant Wells is an experienced signal-caller and has 1,439 passing yards this season. He has a playmaking wideout in Kaleb Smith, who is averaging 15.3 yards on his 28 catches, and tight end Nick Gallo (23 catches) is a steady presence. Wells has had some problems under pressure, getting sacked 13 times and throwing seven interceptions, but NC State has just eight sacks, fewest in the conference. The quarterback has accounted for 10 touchdowns.   

How to make Virginia Tech vs. NC State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting a combined 48 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins NC State vs. Virginia Tech? And which side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.