Odds and picks for Week 1 NFL today

Our NFL betting expert brings you his best Packers vs. Vikings predictions and picks for their NFL Week 1 showdown, which is live Sunday on Fox at 4:25 p.m. ET.

The Vikings play their first game under head coach Kevin O’Connell, who is flanked by new coordinators on offense, defense and special teams. Sour over last year’s early playoff exit, the Aaron Rodgers-led Packers begin their postseason quest anew.

Packers vs. Vikings Picks

  • Packers to cover spread -1.5, @ -110 via BetMGM
  • Over 47 points to be scored, @ – 110 via BetMGM
  • Dalvin Cook multiple touchdowns, @ +350 via BetMGM

The BetMGM Logo

Claim a Risk-Free First Bet up to $1,000

New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. (Welcome Offer not available in NY & PA) Full T&C apply.

Caesars Sportsbook Logo Square

First bet up To $1,250 On Caesars

New users only, 21 or older. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Full T&Cs apply.

fanduel spb lg vrt rgb blu pos 1

Bet $5, Win $150 in Free Bets

21+. New customers only. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY only. T&C apply

Packers vs Vikings Picks: The Analysis

Green Bay finished 13-4 last season, tops in the NFC North and five games better than Minnesota, but the Vikings have won two of the last three in the series, including a 34-31 home win in Week 11 of 2021.

Packers coach Matt LaFleur is 4-2 against the Vikings while O’Connell, who branches from the coaching tree of the Los Angeles Rams’ Sean McVay, gets his first crack at Minnesota’s longtime division rival.

The Pack is back

Rodgers welcomes a number of new receivers to the fold, as well as some familiar secondary or tertiary targets expected to assume increased roles. Veteran Sammy Watkins makes his team debut primed to work with a signal-caller coming off his third straight league MVP, while rookie Christian Watson hopes to hit the ground running.

Romeo Doubs.
Romeo Doubs hauls in a pass during the preseason.
Getty Images

Green Bay showed solid defensive improvements last season and is aiming for more success. Linebacker Rashan Gary recorded 9.5 sacks, tops on the team, while a secondary that includes Rasul Douglas, Eric Stokes and Jaire Alexander is solid.

The unit will be challenged — wideout Adam Thielen has four receiving touchdowns in his past four home games against the Packers, while counterpart Justin Jefferson had 169 receiving yards and two touchdowns in week 11 last season  — but Green Bay will be up to the task.

Our Pick: Packers to cover spread -1.5, @ -110 via BetMGM

Betting on the NFL?

Score, score alike

Green Bay has tallied at least 30 points in 10 of its 22 trips to Minnesota since the turn of the century. That’s the most such games in the NFC over that span and tied for most in the NFL with New England’s visits to Buffalo.

While many eyes will be on Rodgers and his receiving corps, the Packers boast a solid ground game, too. Since 2019, Aaron Jones ranks second in the league with 40 scrimmage touchdowns, while counterpart A.J. Dillon is coming off a career-best 1,116 scrimmage yards last season.

Aaron Rodgers.
Aaron Rodgers on the sidelines during the preseason.
Getty Images

Led by quarterback Kirk Cousins, the Vikings return much of the offensive core that averaged 25 points per game last season, just 1.5 points off the Packers’ pace

Our Pick: Over 47 points to be scored, @ – 110 via BetMGM

Home Cook-in’

Cook has 17 rushing touchdowns in his past 18 games at U.S. Bank Stadium, including last season’s home meeting against Green Bay.

The veteran averaged 9.7 yards on three receptions that day, as well, and has nine total touchdowns in seven career games versus the Packers.

The trend continues on opening day.

Our Pick: Dalvin Cook multiple touchdowns, @ +350 via BetMGM

Packers vs Vikings Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. Correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Team Spread  Moneyline Total Points 47
Packers (-1.5)  -110 -120 Over   -110
Vikings  (+1.5)   -110 +100 Under -110