UCF vs. Navy odds, line: 2022 college football picks, Week 12 predictions from proven computer model

The No. 22 UCF Knights will try to maintain their position atop the American Athletic Conference standings when they host the Navy Midshipmen on Saturday afternoon. They have rattled off a three-game winning streak, including a crucial win at then-No. 17 Tulane last week. Navy has lost four of its last five games, but it nearly pulled off an upset at then-No. 20 Notre Dame its last time out.  

Kickoff is set for 11 a.m. ET. The Knights are favored by 16 points in the latest UCF vs. Navy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 53. Before entering any Navy vs. UCF picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UCF vs. Navy. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Navy vs. UCF:

  • UCF vs. Navy spread: UCF -16
  • UCF vs. Navy over/under: 53 points
  • UCF vs. Navy money line: UCF -800, Navy +550
  • UCF vs. Navy picks: See picks here

Featured Game | UCF Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen

Why UCF can cover

UCF might not be as dominant as it once was in the AAC, but it has won seven of its last eight games and has taken control of first place in the standings. The Knights have knocked off a pair of ranked teams in Cincinnati and Tulane over the past three weeks, along with picking up a win over Memphis. They are going to be fully motivated for this game, as they cannot afford a loss if they want to stay at the top of the standings. 

Senior quarterback John Rhys Plumlee has thrown for 2,015 yards and 12 touchdowns while also rushing for a team-high 708 yards and nine scores. He is facing a Navy team that has lost four of its last five games and is without starting quarterback Tai Lavatai for the remainder of the season. UCF is 12-1 in its last 13 home games and has covered the spread in five of its last six games this year. 

Why Navy can cover

Navy might have lost four of its last five games, but all four of those setbacks came against quality opponents. The Midshipmen covered the spread in three of those four losses, so they are still undervalued right now. They took Notre Dame down to the wire last week, losing by three points as 17-point underdogs. 

Sophomore fullback Daba Fofana continues to put up big numbers, rushing for 133 yards and a touchdown against the Fighting Irish. Navy’s strong rushing attack makes it difficult for opponents to blow the Midshipmen out, which is why they have covered the spread in six of their last eight games. They have also covered the spread in five straight road games, pointing to some potential value in this spot. 

How to make UCF vs. Navy picks

The model has simulated Navy vs. UCF 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in more than 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UCF vs. Navy? And which side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Navy vs. UCF spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.