Wizards vs. Thunder odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Nov. 16 predictions from proven computer model

The Washington Wizards will try to extend their four-game winning streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday night. Washington has won all four of those games by at least eight points, including Sunday’s 102-92 win over Memphis. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City had its two-game winning streak snapped in a loss at Boston on Monday.  

Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. Washington is favored by 4.5 points in the latest Wizards vs. Thunder odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 226.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Wizards picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 100-66 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wizards vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Wizards vs. Thunder:

  • Wizards vs. Thunder spread: Wizards -4.5
  • Wizards vs. Thunder over/under: 226 points
  • Wizards vs. Thunder money line: Washington -190, Oklahoma City +158
  • Wizards vs. Thunder picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Washington Wizards vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Why the Wizards can cover

Washington is playing its best basketball of the season, rattling off four straight wins, including the first three of its six-game homestand. Kristaps Porzingis scored 25 points while Deni Avdija notched a career-high 21 points in a win over Memphis on Sunday. The Wizards have been lighting up the scoreboard from long range, knocking down 35 3-pointers over their last two outings, hitting at a 46% clip. 

Avdija has scored in double figures in each of his past three games, giving Washington an additional scoring threat to go along with Porzingis, Bradley Beal and Kyle Kuzma. Beal, who is averaging a team-best 21.6 points per game, has missed the last five games due to the NBA’s health and safety protocol, but the three-time All-Star is expected to return on Wednesday. Washington has covered the spread in seven straight games against Western Conference teams, while Oklahoma City is 3-13 in its last 16 road games. 

Why the Thunder can cover

Oklahoma City has been scoring at a high rate as well, averaging 132.8 points per game over its past four outings. Star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 37 points in each of the past two games, including a 145-135 win over the Knicks on Sunday. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.5 points, 5.8 assists and 2.1 steals per game, which are all team-highs. 

Point guard Josh Giddey has been a key contributor as well, averaging 14.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists. Oklahoma City has been undervalued when these teams have squared off recently, covering the spread in four of the last five meetings. The Wizards are coming off wins over the Mavericks, Jazz and Grizzlies, making this a letdown spot on the schedule. 

How to make Thunder vs. Wizards picks

The model has simulated Wizards vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Wizards? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Wizards vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.